Broadway Journalists Predict This Year's Big Tony Award Races

As usual, Broadway journalists have looked into their crystal balls, read tea leaves, checked horoscopes and written their predictions about who will take a trip up to the podium at Radio City Music Hall to accept the 2006 Tony Awards. To help you figure out which nominee to bet your house on, we offer up a handy chart.

The Jury
Melissa Rose Bernardo, Entertainment Weekly*
David Cote/Adam Feldman, Time Out New York
Martin Denton, NYTheatre.com*
Elysa Gardner, USA Today
Charles McNulty, The Los Angeles Times*
Tom O'Neil, The Envelope*
Patrick Pacheco, Show People *
Michael Riedel, The New York Post
Campbell Robertson, The New York Times
Paul Sheehan, Envelope.com contributor
David Sheward, Backstage*
Robert Simonson, Playbill.com
Paul Wontorek, Broadway.com
*As predicted on Showbiz Awards' Gold Derby

Best Musical
Bernardo: Jersey Boys
Cote/ Feldman: Jersey Boys
Denton: Jersey Boys
Gardner: The Drowsy Chaperone
McNulty: Jersey Boys
O'Neil: Jersey Boys
Pacheco: Jersey Boys
Riedel: The Drowsy Chaperone
Robertson: Jersey Boys
Sheehan: The Drowsy Chaperone
Sheward: Jersey Boys
Simonson: Jersey Boys
Wontorek: Jersey Boys
Verdict: 77% Jersey Boys; 23% The Drowsy Chaperone

Best Play
Bernardo: The History Boys
Cote/ Feldman: The History Boys
Denton: The History Boys
Gardner: The History Boys
McNulty: The History Boys
O'Neil: The History Boys
Pacheco: The History Boys
Riedel: The History Boys
Robertson: The History Boys
Sheehan: The History Boys
Sheward: The History Boys
Simonson: The History Boys
Wontorek: The History Boys
Verdict: 100% The History Boys

Best Revival of a Musical
Bernardo: Sweeney Todd
Cote/ Feldman: Sweeney Todd
Denton: Sweeney Todd
Gardner: Sweeney Todd
McNulty: Sweeney Todd
O'Neil: Sweeney Todd
Pacheco: The Pajama Game
Riedel: Sweeney Todd
Sheehan: Sweeney Todd
Sheward: Sweeney Todd
Simonson: Sweeney Todd
Wontorek: Sweeney Todd
Verdict: 92% Sweeney Todd; 8% The Pajama Game

Best Revival of a Play
Bernardo: Awake and Sing!
Cote/ Feldman: Awake and Sing!
Denton: Awake and Sing!
Gardner: Faith Healer
McNulty: Awake and Sing!
O'Neil: Awake and Sing!
Pacheco: Awake and Sing!
Riedel: Awake and Sing!
Robertson: Awake and Sing!
Sheehan: Awake and Sing!
Sheward: Awake and Sing!
Simonson: Faith Healer
Wontorek: Awake and Sing!
Verdict: 85% Awake and Sing!; 15% Faith Healer

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
Bernardo: John Lloyd Young, Jersey Boys
Cote/ Feldman: Young
Denton: Young
Gardner: Young
McNulty: Young
O'Neil: Young
Pacheco: Young
Riedel: Young
Sheehan: Young
Sheward: Young
Simonson: Young
Wontorek: Young
Verdict: 100% John Lloyd Young, Jersey Boys

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Bernardo: Patti LuPone, Sweeney Todd
Cote/ Feldman: LaChanze, The Color Purple
Denton: LaChanze
Gardner: LuPone
McNulty: LaChanze
O'Neil: LuPone
Pacheco: LaChanze
Riedel: LuPone
Robertson: LuPone
Sheehan: LuPone
Sheward: LaChanze
Simonson: LuPone
Wontorek: LuPone
Verdict: 62% Patti LuPone, Sweeney Todd; 38% LaChanze, The Color Purple

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Bernardo: Richard Griffiths, The History Boys
Cote/ Feldman: Griffiths
Denton: Griffiths
Gardner: Griffiths
McNulty: Griffiths
O'Neil: Griffiths
Pacheco: Griffiths
Riedel: Griffiths
Robertson: Griffiths
Sheehan: Griffiths
Sheward: Griffiths
Simonson: Griffiths
Wontorek: Griffiths
Verdict: 100% Richard Griffiths, The History Boys

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Bernardo: Cynthia Nixon, Rabbit Hole
Cote/ Feldman: Nixon
Denton: Nixon
Gardner: Nixon
McNulty: Nixon
O'Neil: Nixon
Pacheco: Nixon
Riedel: Nixon
Robertson: Nixon
Sheehan: Nixon
Sheward: Nixon
Simonson: Nixon
Wontorek: Nixon
Verdict: 100% Cynthia Nixon, Rabbit Hole

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
Bernardo: Christian Hoff, Jersey Boys
Cote/ Feldman: Jim Dale, The Threepenny Opera
Denton: Dale
McNulty: Dale
O'Neil: Dale
Pacheco: Brandon Victor Dixon, The Color Purple
Robertson: Dale
Sheehan: Dale
Sheward: Dale
Simonson: Dale
Wontorek: Dale
Verdict: 82% Jim Dale, The Threepenny Opera; 9% Brandon Victor Dixon, The Color Purple; 9% Christian Hoff, Jersey Boys

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
Bernardo: Beth Leavel, The Drowsy Chaperone
Cote/ Feldman: Leavel
Denton: Leavel
Gardner: Leavel
McNulty: Leavel
O'Neil: Leavel
Pacheco: Felicia P. Fields, The Color Purple
Riedel: Fields
Sheehan: Leavel
Sheward: Leavel
Simonson: Fields
Wontorek: Leavel
Verdict: 75% Beth Leavel, The Drowsy Chaperone; 25% Felicia P. Fields, The Color Purple

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Bernardo: Samuel Barnett, The History Boys
Cote/ Feldman: Ian McDiarmid, Faith Healer
Denton: McDiarmid
Gardner: Barnett
McNulty: McDiarmid
O'Neil: Barnett
Pacheco: McDiarmid
Riedel: Barnett
Robertson: Barnett
Sheehan: Barnett
Sheward: McDiarmid
Simonson: Domhnall Gleeson, The Lieutenant of Inishmore
Wontorek: McDiarmid
Verdict: 46% Samuel Barnett, The History Boys; 46% Ian McDiarmid, Faith Healer; 8% Domhnall Gleeson, The Lieutenant of Inishmore

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play Bernardo: Frances de la Tour, The History Boys Cote/ Feldman: de la Tour
Denton: de la Tour
Gardner: de la Tour
McNulty: Jayne Houdyshell, Well
O'Neil: de la Tour
Pacheco: Houdyshell
Riedel: de la Tour
Robertson: de la Tour
Sheehan: de la Tour
Sheward: de la Tour
Simonson: Houdyshell
Wontorek: de la Tour
Verdict: 77% Frances de la Tour, The History Boys; 23% Jayne Houdyshell, Well

Best Director of a Musical
Bernardo: John Doyle, Sweeney Todd
Cote/ Feldman: Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game
Denton: Doyle
Gardner: Doyle
McNulty: Doyle
O'Neil: Doyle
Pacheco: Des McAnuff, Jersey Boys
Riedel: Doyle
Robertson: Doyle
Sheehan: Doyle
Sheward: Doyle
Simonson: Doyle
Wontorek: Doyle
Verdict: 84.6% John Doyle, Sweeney Todd; 7.7% Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game; 7.7% Des McAnuff, Jersey Boys

Best Director of a Play
Bernardo: Nicholas Hytner, The History Boys
Cote/ Feldman: Hytner
Denton: Hytner
Gardner: Hytner
McNulty: Hytner
O'Neil: Hytner
Pacheco: Hytner
Riedel: Hytner
Robertson: Hytner
Sheehan: Hytner
Sheward: Hytner
Simonson: Hytner
Wontorek: Hytner
Verdict: 100% Nicholas Hytner, The History Boys

Best Choreography
Bernardo: Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game
Denton: Marshall
McNulty: Marshall
O'Neil: Marshall
Pacheco: Marshall
Robertson: Marshall
Sheehan: Marshall
Sheward: Marshall
Simonson: Marshall
Wontorek: Marshall
Verdict: 100% Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game

Best Book of Musical
Bernardo: Bob Martin and Don McKellar, The Drowsy Chaperone
Cote/ Feldman: Martin and McKellar
Denton: Martin and McKellar
Gardner: Martin and McKellar
McNulty: Martin and McKellar
O'Neil: Martin and McKellar
Riedel: Martin and McKellar
Sheehan: Martin and McKellar
Sheward: Martin and McKellar
Simonson: Martin and McKellar
Wontorek: Martin and McKellar
Verdict: 100% Bob Martin and Don McKellar, The Drowsy Chaperone

Best Original Score
Bernardo: Lisa Lambert and Greg Morrison, The Drowsy Chaperone
Cote/ Feldman: Lambert and Morrison
Denton: Lambert and Morrison
Gardner: Lambert and Morrison
McNulty: Brenda Russell, Allee Willis and Stephen Bray, The Color Purple
O'Neil: Lambert and Morrison
Pacheco: Lambert and Morrison
Riedel: Lambert and Morrison
Sheehan: Lambert and Morrison
Sheward: Lambert and Morrison
Simonson: Lambert and Morrison
Wontorek: Lambert and Morrison
Verdict: 92% Lisa Lambert and Greg Morrison, The Drowsy Chaperone; 8% Brenda Russell, Allee Willis and Stephen Bray, The Color Purple